Checking In On Trade

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The U.S. has run a trade deficit (importing more goods and services from
other countries than it exports) since the mid-1970s, which acts as a drag on
overall gross domestic product (GDP) growth.

FOMC Too Soon for March Madness?

As we enter March, market participants are already looking ahead to the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. While the meeting isn’t until March 15 – 16, 2016, markets are already trying to decipher how the widening disconnect between what the Fed plans to do with the fed funds rate and what the market thinks the Fed will do will be resolved.

FOMC FAQs: All About the Dots

As the second of eight Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings of 2016 approaches later this week, the market and the Federal Reserve (Fed) remain deeply divided over the timing and pace of Fed rate hikes.

Beige Book: Window on Main Street

The latest Beige Book suggests that the U.S. economy is still growing near its long term trend, but that the drag from a stronger dollar and weaker energy prices, along with the slowdown in emerging market (EM) economies — most notably China, are still having a major impact on the manufacturing sector.

FOMC From Headwind to Tailwind

Since the middle of 2014 — as markets prepared for the start of Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes and more easing from the European Central
Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) — the U.S. dollar has been on a near historic run higher versus the currencies of major U.S. trading partners.


Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers face a difficult task this week. Although it is not expected that they will raise rates again as soon as this week’s meeting, they have to communicate the Fed’s policy intentions without the benefit of a press conference by Fed Chair Janet Yellen or a new set of economic and rate forecasts from the members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).